What could be the next terror target?


  • While authorities going hectic in securing Schools, RAW-TTP nexus deemed having contrary plans
  • RAW led TTP terrorists following historic terror blueprints for operation in Pakistan
  • Global terror trends emerging as major inspirations for RAW-TTP nexus of evil with majority coming from Maoists ‘terror attacks on security Forces in India
  • RAW-TTP Netwrok constantly practicing to stage mega hostage crisis, now turning to soft targets
  • Indians did try to rescue their TTP partners from the axe of Zarb-i-Azb by creating border hostilities during the operation to diver Pak army’s focus and energies.
  • Delay in execution of sentenced terrorists to allow RAW-TTP nexus make more and more hostage taking bids

By Makhdoom Babar

While the Pakistani security authorities, specially the Police and the provincial intelligence services, going hyper in ordering the respective school administration to ensure security measure at schools and have even  forced them to announce early  winter vacations, postponing several annual examinations and causing acute panic amongst  the student s parent, The RAW-TTP nexus of evil is considered to be following some contrary plans, reveal the  investigations of The Daily Mail.

The Daily Mail’s investigations indicate that the RAW-TTP Netwrok of terrorists, operating from Kunnar , Nooristan areas of Afghanistan are very minutely following the global terror patterns  and the operational blueprints . These investigations indicate that ranging from the old terror incidents like the one that took place in Russia’s Beslan school in 2004 to the latest of Sydney café’ hostage crisis, the basic modus oprendi of the terror attacks have completely been remained as duplications of  the global terror event or hostage crisis like situations. These investigations further indicate that in most of the terror attacks, TTP and its allied terror outfits have been following the blueprints of the terror and hostage crisis operations, executed in the recent years by Maoist or Nexal rebels in India. The investigations indicate that since counter terror experts of Indian intelligence agencies including RAW and IB, while investigating these terror attacks, collected and secured all the execution details of all such terror attacks, carried out by Nexal  insurgents, there seems to be no iota of doubts that that same details are continuously provided by RAW to TTP planners for execution of terror attacks across Pakistan.

The Daily Mail’s investigations indicate that after being thwarted in a number of terror attacks to create hostage crisis at hard targets like  2009’s attacks on Mannawan Police Academy in Lahore and attack on military headquarters, the GHQ in Rawalpindi and the attack on  Karachi’s Mehran Naval Base, Karachi, Kamra Air Base and  attack on Karachi airport earlier this year, the RAW-TTP Network has now turned to rather soft targets like the School at Peshawar.

In-depth analysis of the pattern and chronology of the RAW-TTP terror safari, it emerges that first of all the terrorists, after receiving quite an unexpectedly heavy punch from Pakistan army via Operation Zarab-i-Azb, are now desperate to regain some face-saving and thus have turned to soft targets and secondly, now they have indicated the clear intention of creating a hostage taking situation to bargain for the arrested and even sentenced colleagues of theirs.  These analysis also clarify that in a desperate bid to rescue their TTP partners from Zarab-i-Azb, Indian did try to divert Pakistan army’s focus and energies by creating hostilities at the Line of Control in Kashmir region and across the Pak-India working boundary, right in the middle of Operation Zarb-i-Azab, yet this move couldn’t yield much and now the plan of hostage taking has been unleashed with all its comprehensions. These analysis indicate that with the pattern and chronology of the recent RAW-TTP wave of terror, it establishes that their next target could be some crowded shopping mall, some hi-fi movie theatre or even some Church and that dates for such a sinister act could be 25th of December or 31st of December, that dates signifying Christmas, founder of Pakistan’s Birth anniversary and the new year eve.  It can be assumed that huge shopping malls in Islamabad, Lahore, Karachi etc and churches with heavy gatherings in the same cities could be in the minds of RAW-TTP operators.

Counter terror experts and security analysts are of the firm view that the best possible methodology , available to the government, apart from taking extraordinary measures at the above mentioned soft targets, is to carry out the execution of the arrest terrorists that are on death row in different prisons after  being convicted from court, without losing any time. These experts comprehensively disapprove the government’s delaying tactic and taking of steps like executing just 17 such terrorists in whole even days.   The believe that more time government would waste in executing the executors, more terror attacks with hostage taking aims could be expected.  These global experts also do not appreciate the style of government under which it is giving bit by bit details about the upcoming executions of the handful of terrorists and that too with a rather glorification and  portraying these killers of humanity as some war heroes. The3se professionals very strongly recommend that to minimize the chances of happening of any such tragedy, government must silently execute all the convicted terrorists with in no time and can publics the same later and should prove that the acts do speak louder than the words.

The Daily Mail’s inv3estigations indicate that since the RAW-TTP nexus of evil has constantly been following the global terror patterns, the next plan of the terror operators could be in accordance with hostage taking episode of  2013 that took place at Westgate shopping mall in Nairobi.

The Daily Mail here presents, with a comparison,  a chronology of global terror incidents and their similarities with RAW-TTP nexus’s similar operations across Pakistan with a great synchronization.

-In India’s worst Maoist attack ever, at least 75 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) and a state police personnel were killed in an ambush in the thick Mukrana forests of Chhattisgarh’s Dantewada district. The dead include a Deputy and an Assistant Commandant of the CRPF, and a head constable of the district police.

(The same pattern has been  used by RAW-TTP network at many occasions in Pakistan)

-24 personnel of the Eastern Frontier Rifles (EFR) killed as Maoists attack their camp in Silda in West Midnapore district of West Bengal in Feb-2010

-2010: Maoists trigger a landmine blast killing 11 security personnel of the elite anti-Naxal force Special Operations Group (SOG) in Koraput district of Odisha in April 2010

-Naxals kill BJP MP from Balaghat Baliram Kashyap’s sons at Pairaguda village in Jagdalpur (Chhattisgarh) in September 2009.

–10 paramilitary troops killed in eastern Odisha when Maoists attack a bauxite mine in Koraput district in April 2009

(The details of all these attacks show that each one of these has been replicated with hundred percent matching by RAW_TTP nexus in KPK, Waziristan Agencies and other Tribal Areas soon after these acts took place)

The Beslan school hostage crisis (also referred to as the Beslan school siege or Beslan massacre) began when a group of armed terrorists, demanding an end to the Second Chechen War, took more than 1,100 people, including some 777 children, hostage on September 1, 2004, at School Number One (SNO) in the town of Beslan, North Ossetia-Alania, an autonomous republic in the North Caucasus region of the Russian Federation

(The same blueprint was executed with amazing matching by RAW-TTP network for carrying out carnage at Peshawar’s Army Public School, despite only not being able to create a hostage taking situation)

The Kizlyar-Pervomayskoye Hostage Crisis


This crisis occurred during the First Chechen War when a raid made by guerillas against a military airbase became a massive hostage crisis that involved thousands of civilians. The assault, which destroyed 3 helicopters and killed 33 personnel and other soldiers, led the Russian military to pursue the Chechen guerrillas, who entered the town itself and took 2,000 to 3,400 civilian hostages. Fighting ensued and the rebels then fled to Pervomayskoye in a column of 11 buses and 2 trucks where they seized an additional 100 hostages from the village. Because the Russian army did not permit journalists access to the village, it is hard to determine the full extent of civilian casualties.

(The blueprint and execution plan and targeting  during the RAW-TTO network was used great accuracy during attacks at Mehran Base in Karachai, Kamra Air Base attack and this year’s attack on Karachi airport were comprehensively derived out of this terror attack. Only the civilians’ factor was missing in these  duplicate attacks of RAW-TTP network)

And here are some scenarios and plots out of which any could be followed as a master plan by the RAW-TTP network in coming days if the executions of their imprisoned, convicted partners are not carried out by the Pakistan government at jet pace and on war footings.

The Moscow theatre hostage crisis, also known as the 2002 Nord-Ost siege, was the seizure of a crowded Moscow theatre on October 23, 2002 by about 40-50 armed Chechen rebel fighters who claimed allegiance to the separatist movement in Chechnya. They took 850 hostages and demanded the withdrawal of Russian forces from Chechnya and an end to the Second Chechen War. The siege was officially led by Movsar Barayev. After a two-and-a-half day siege, Russian Spetsnaz forces pumped an unknown chemical agent into the building’s ventilation system and raided it. Officially, 39 of the terrorists were killed by Russian forces, along with at least 129 and possibly many more of the hostages (including nine foreigners). All but one of the hostages who died during the siege were killed by the toxic substance pumped into the theatre to subdue the militants.

( This bluprint could be used at any hi-fi movie thatre in the country and thus all such places ned extraordinary security untill the executions of the convitca are concluded and Zarb-i-Azab is completed)

On 15–16 December 2014, a  gunman, Man Haron Monis, held hostage nine customers and eight employees of a Lindt chocolate café located at Martin Place in Sydney, Australia After a 16-hour standoff, during which areas of the Sydney central business district surrounding the site were cordoned off and nearby buildings locked down, police officers from the Tactical Operations Unit stormed the café upon hearing gunshots from inside. At least one hostage was shot by Monis, who himself was shot dead after police entered in response. Two hostages died, while three hostages and a police officer were injured during the police raid.

( This could also inspire the RAW-TTP network to execute with little more innovation and comprehensions and thus Police and other relevant security operates must keep  such a situation in mind while making security arrangements)

The 2010 Baghdad church attack was an attack on the Our Lady of Salvation Syriac Catholic cathedral of Baghdad, Iraq, that took place during Sunday evening Mass on 31 October 2010. The attack left at least 58 people dead, after more than 100 had been taken hostage. The al-Qaeda-linked insurgent group the Islamic State of Iraq claimed responsibility.

(This episode could also motivate the RAW-TTP Network and thus security officials must keep this scenario while making the security arrangements at local Churches, especially in mega cities like Lahore, Karachi, Islamabad etc at least during the Christmas and New year eves )

On 21 September 2013, unidentified gunmen attacked the up-market Westgate Shopping Mall in Nairobi, Kenya. The attack, which lasted until 24 September, resulted in at least 67 deaths, including four attackers. Over 175 people were reportedly wounded in the mass shooting, with all of the gunmen reported killed.

Militant group al-Shabaab claimed responsibility for the incident, which it characterized as retribution for the Kenyan military‘s deployment in Somalia. Many media outlets also suspected the insurgent group’s involvement in the attack based on earlier reprisal warnings it had issued in the wake of Operation Linda Nchi from 2011 to 2012.

Kenyan authorities arrested dozens of people in the aftermath of the attack, but had not announced any suspects directly related to the siege. On 4 November 2013, a Kenyan court charged four Somali nationals with harboring the slain gunmen in their homes, with each pleading not guilty.

( The global counter terror experts have been fearing such a situation in Pakistan as a creation of RAW-TTP Network as the merely the symbolic and modest security at the mega shopping malls in major citiei9s of countries make these place the most vulnerable to the terrorists to creat a hostage taking situation for days. Therefore Police and other relevant authorities should not only enhance security at  such places but should also direct the managements of such shopping malls to take extraordinary measures)

With these conclusions, it is expected that the government must be focusing on these lines would take no time not only in enhancing the vsecurity at such likely soft targets of RAW-TTP Netwrok but also speed up the executions of the convicted terrorists and must finish the process within days, not weeks or months.